The real estate market always slows down at the end of the year so a drop in new listings  isn’t a surprise. What is a surprise is how much total inventory plummeted in December 2017. You can see from the chart below from the  Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors that it appears to have been in free fall. December 2017 inventory was 27.5% below December 2016 inventory… and the lowest in the chart below going back to 2004.

Part of the problem is a shortage of new listings, which of course impacts total supply… which in turn causes home prices to continue to rise. If you think this sounds like a good time to be a seller you are correct… it’s time to get your home on the market ASAP and leap for joy!

Total sales remained fairly stable, buoyed by strong pending sales in the previous months. While December 2017 pending sales were down as expected compared to November, they were only 2% below December 2016… a lack of buyers isn’t the issue, it’s the supply of homes available for sale.

It is this shortage of supply paired with high demand that has kept 2017 monthly median sale price hovering above prior years for the whole year. December 2017’s median sale price of $248,500 was 10% over December 2016. This has also been causing days on market before sale to drop, at 61 days in December 2017.

Months supply of homes for sale is down to only 1.3 months, 31.6% below last December and the lowest on records going back to 2004. All of these factors are causing percent of list price to rise… at 97% in December, more like spring and summer market.

If you are wondering what months supply of inventory means, it is how long it would take for the current inventory to be completely sold if sales continued at the same rate and no new listings were added. The market is considered balanced between buyers and sellers when there is a 5-6 month supply. We are currently in an incredibly strong seller’s market.

When examined by price range, all home prices under $250,000 have less than a one-month supply, and prices $250k-$350k have only a 1.1 month supply. Prices $350k-$1M have a 2.1-3.5 month supply… still a strong seller’s market. Even though homes priced $1M+ are in a buyer’s market, it is a weak buyer’s market not far above balanced. Sales in this price range have shown the highest increase in sales, fueled by new construction.

The property type with the lowest supply is townhomes, with less than a 1-month supply available.

The figures above are based on statistics for the combined 16-county Twin Cities metropolitan area released by the Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors.

Never forget that all real estate is local and what is happening in your neighborhood may be very different from the overall metro area.

Click here for local reports on 350+ metro area communities

Sharlene Hensrud – Email – Minneapolis – St. Paul Real Estate Market

RE/MAX Results HomesMSP Team- SharleneJohnAngela – Minneapolis-St. Paul Realtors


About Sharlene Hensrud

I love what I do! Highly insightful, analytical and creative, there is nothing I love more than helping you find the right solution for your real estate transition. My mission is to serve my clients with honesty and integrity, exceeding their expectations in service and support… and to help others by donating a portion of every transaction to Habitat for Humanity.

Related Posts

Where do 100+ experts predict home prices will be in 5 years?

I had a call from consumer last week who wanted to talk about where the real estate market is headed, worried that we are in another housing bubble. Although we never really know how valid predictions may be until we look back on them, I posted earlier this year about the very same concern… interestingly.

Read More

Market Update – July Stats

The number of closed sales took another leap last month, according to July statistics released by the Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors. Not only were July closed sales about 26% above last year…they were also about 16% above two years ago!   After inching up for the last few months, new listings dropped again last.

Read More

New real estate investor trend

BUY, FIX and FLIP has been a real estate investor trend for years. It worked well when property values were climbing. There was money to be made not only on the renovation itself, but also on the time it took to complete the renovation… property values were going up every month. When the market crashed and there was an oversupply.

Read More

Leave a Reply

Be the First to Comment!

Notify of